MSFT - Microsoft Corp. ($25.79)

Business Predictability: What is this? | Higher Ranked Competitors

Currently /5

Business Predictability Rank: 3-Star

Back Testing (Jan. 1998 - Aug. 2008) Results:

Average gain of all 3-Star stocks: 8.2%/year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 11%.

Top Ranked Predictable Companies & What is Predictability Rank?

Fair Value Voted: $35.88 15 votes: $28.24 ~ $48 Login to Vote

External Links: Company Website | SEC Reports | Yahoo Finance

See this page for the explanation of the data and charts

Annual Rates (per share)	10 yrs	5 yrs	12 months
Revenue Growth (%)	14.1	14.5	21.3
EBITDA Growth (%)	12.6	14.8	43.4
Free Cash Flow Growth (%)	4.7	11	46.1
Book Value Growth (%)	-1.9	4.1	26.1

P/E	10.5	P/B	4.5	P/S	3.5	Market Cap	$216,697 Mil

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See this page for the explanation of the data and charts * All numbers are in millions except for per share data ** Click on any rows of data below to show data in chart

Per Share Data	Annuals (Year End)											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Jun01	Jun02	Jun03	Jun04	Jun05	Jun06	Jun07	Jun08	Jun09	Jun10	TTM	Sep09	Mar10	Jun10	Sep10	Dec10

Revenue per Share ($)	2.35	2.62	3.00	3.41	3.68	4.34	5.34	6.49	6.57	7.13	7.68	1.45	1.65	1.83	1.87	2.33
EBITDA per Share	1.09	1.10	1.23	0.84	1.35	1.61	1.94	2.42	2.29	2.75	3.04	0.50	0.59	0.68	0.82	0.95
Free Cashflow per Share	1.14	1.27	1.39	1.25	1.46	1.26	1.62	1.98	1.79	2.52	3.20	0.64	1.33	0.55	0.88	0.44
Earnings Per Share ($)	0.68	0.72	0.93	0.76	1.13	1.24	1.47	1.90	1.64	2.14	2.39	0.40	0.46	0.52	0.63	0.78
Dividends Per Share	--	--	0.08	0.16	3.32	0.34	0.39	0.43	0.50	0.52	0.55	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.16
Book Value Per Share	4.39	4.82	5.68	6.93	4.45	3.93	3.25	3.90	4.44	5.27	5.67	4.62	5.21	5.27	5.42	5.67
Ratios	Annuals (Year End)											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Jun01	Jun02	Jun03	Jun04	Jun05	Jun06	Jun07	Jun08	Jun09	Jun10	Latest Q.	Sep09	Mar10	Jun10	Sep10	Dec10

Return on Equity (%)	15.50	15.00	16.40	10.90	25.50	31.40	45.20	48.70	36.80	40.60	54.70	34.70	35.10	39.10	46.10	54.70
Return on Assets (%)	8.40	8.20	15.70	3.00	15.50	17.10	21.20	24.30	17.80	21.80	28.70	17.50	18.90	21.00	23.60	28.70
Debt to Equity (%)	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	14.50	12.90	19.90	14.50	13.10	12.90	22.70	19.90
Debt to Revenue (%)	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	9.80	9.50	12.13	11.60	10.33	9.25	16.48	12.13
Gross Margin (%)	86.30	81.70	82.30	81.80	84.40	82.70	79.10	80.80	79.20	80.20	75.80	78.00	81.00	80.20	80.60	75.80
Operating Margin (%)	46.30	42.00	41.10	24.50	36.60	37.20	36.20	37.20	34.80	38.60	40.90	34.70	35.70	37.00	43.90	40.90
Net Margin (%)	29.00	27.60	31.00	22.20	30.80	28.50	27.50	29.30	24.90	30.00	33.20	27.70	27.60	28.20	33.40	33.20

Income Statement	Annuals (Year End)											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Jun01	Jun02	Jun03	Jun04	Jun05	Jun06	Jun07	Jun08	Jun09	Jun10	TTM	Sep09	Mar10	Jun10	Sep10	Dec10

Revenue	25,296	28,365	32,187	36,835	39,788	44,282	51,122	60,420	58,437	62,484	66,690	12,920	14,503	16,039	16,195	19,953
COGS	3,455	5,191	5,686	6,716	6,200	7,650	10,693	11,598	12,155	12,395	13,897	2,842	2,755	3,170	3,139	4,833
Gross Profit	21,841	23,174	26,501	30,119	33,588	36,632	40,429	48,822	46,282	50,089	52,793	10,078	11,748	12,869	13,056	15,120

SGA	5,742	6,957	8,625	13,306	12,843	13,576	14,784	18,166	16,909	17,277	17,458	3,531	4,355	4,589	3,744	4,770
RD	4,379	4,307	4,659	7,779	6,184	6,584	7,121	8,164	9,010	8,714	8,951	2,065	2,220	2,350	2,196	2,185
EBITDA	11,720	11,910	13,217	9,034	14,561	16,472	18,524	22,492	20,363	24,098	26,384	4,482	5,173	5,930	7,116	8,165

Operating Income	11,720	11,910	13,217	9,034	14,561	16,472	18,524	22,492	20,363	24,098	26,384	4,482	5,173	5,930	7,116	8,165

Pretax Income	11,525	11,513	14,726	12,196	16,628	18,262	20,101	23,814	19,821	25,013	27,092	4,765	5,341	6,024	7,230	8,497
Net Income	7,346	7,829	9,993	8,168	12,254	12,599	14,065	17,681	14,569	18,760	20,568	3,574	4,006	4,518	5,410	6,634

Earnings Per Share ($)	0.68	0.72	0.93	0.76	1.13	1.24	1.47	1.90	1.64	2.14	2.39	0.40	0.46	0.52	0.63	0.78
Shares Outstanding	10,764	10,831	10,736	10,795	10,804	10,201	9,567	9,313	8,900	8,764	8,556	8,928	8,770	8,764	8,654	8,556

Balance Sheet	Annuals (Year End)											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Jun01	Jun02	Jun03	Jun04	Jun05	Jun06	Jun07	Jun08	Jun09	Jun10	Latest Q.	Sep09	Mar10	Jun10	Sep10	Dec10

Cash and Equiv	3,922	3,016	6,438	15,982	4,851	6,714	6,111	10,339	6,076	5,505	4,023	8,823	8,155	5,505	8,161	4,023
Short Term Inv.	27,678	35,636	42,610	44,610	32,900	27,447	17,300	13,323	25,371	31,283	37,229	27,905	31,511	31,283	36,012	37,229
Accts Rec.	3,671	5,129	5,196	5,890	7,180	9,316	11,338	13,589	11,192	13,014	12,874	8,587	9,137	13,014	9,646	12,874
Inventory	--	673	640	421	491	1,478	1,127	985	717	740	861	1,150	501	740	1,242	861
Other Current Assets	4,366	4,122	4,089	3,663	3,315	4,055	4,292	5,006	5,924	5,134	4,697	5,766	5,214	5,134	4,520	4,697
Total Current Assets	39,637	48,576	58,973	70,566	48,737	49,010	40,168	43,242	49,280	55,676	59,684	52,231	54,518	55,676	59,581	59,684

Net PPE	2,309	2,268	2,223	2,326	2,346	3,044	4,350	6,242	7,535	7,630	7,799	7,512	7,372	7,630	7,771	7,799
Intangibles	--	1,669	3,512	3,684	3,808	4,405	5,638	14,081	14,262	13,552	13,494	14,235	13,745	13,552	13,548	13,494
Other Long-Term Assets	17,311	15,133	14,863	15,813	15,924	13,138	13,015	9,228	6,811	9,255	11,329	7,634	9,275	9,255	10,640	11,329
Total Assets	59,257	67,646	79,571	92,389	70,815	69,597	63,171	72,793	77,888	86,113	92,306	81,612	84,910	86,113	91,540	92,306

Account Payable	1,188	1,208	1,573	1,717	2,086	2,909	3,247	4,034	3,324	4,025	3,863	3,287	3,279	4,025	3,654	3,863
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	2,000	1,000	--	2,250	2,249	1,000	1,000	--
Other Current Liab.	9,944	11,536	12,401	13,252	14,791	19,533	20,507	25,852	21,710	21,122	20,449	23,224	20,896	21,122	21,203	20,449
Total Current Liabilities	11,132	12,744	13,974	14,969	16,877	22,442	23,754	29,886	27,034	26,147	24,312	28,761	26,424	26,147	25,857	24,312

Long-Term Debt	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	3,746	4,939	9,671	3,746	3,746	4,939	9,665	9,671
Other Long-Term Liab.	836	2,722	4,577	2,595	5,823	7,051	8,320	6,621	7,550	8,852	9,842	7,893	9,030	8,852	9,076	9,842
Total Liabilities	11,968	15,466	18,551	17,564	22,700	29,493	32,074	36,507	38,330	39,938	43,825	40,400	39,200	39,938	44,598	43,825

Retained Earnings	18,899	20,533	25,676	18,429	-12,298	-18,901	-29,460	-26,563	-22,824	-16,681	-13,165	-21,081	-16,807	-16,681	-14,993	-13,165
Total Equity	47,289	52,180	61,020	74,825	48,115	40,104	31,097	36,286	39,558	46,175	48,481	41,212	45,710	46,175	46,942	48,481

Cashflow Stmt.	Annuals (Year End)											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Jun01	Jun02	Jun03	Jun04	Jun05	Jun06	Jun07	Jun08	Jun09	Jun10	TTM	Sep09	Mar10	Jun10	Sep10	Dec10

Net Income	7,346	7,829	9,993	8,168	12,254	12,599	14,065	17,681	14,569	18,760	27,230	3,574	10,668	4,518	5,410	6,634
DDA	1,536	1,084	1,439	1,186	855	903	1,440	2,056	2,562	2,673	3,384	646	1,309	718	694	663
Cash Flow from Disc. Op.	375	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Cash Flow Others	4,165	5,596	4,365	5,272	3,496	902	2,291	1,875	1,906	2,640	-268	1,887	385	368	2,090	-3,111
Cash Flow from Oprt.	13,422	14,509	15,797	14,626	16,605	14,404	17,796	21,612	19,037	24,073	30,346	6,107	12,362	5,604	8,194	4,186

CPEX	-1,103	-770	-1,954	-1,113	-1,019	-2,227	-3,414	-11,235	-3,987	-2,222	-2,872	-474	-990	-758	-564	-560
Cash Flow from Investing	-16,365	-20,920	-12,472	-4,377	31,073	18,233	15,592	2,061	-27,553	-20,406	-30,412	-1,924	-11,002	-7,480	-9,350	-2,580

Net Issuance of Stock	-5,821	-4,572	-4,366	-635	-4,948	-17,106	-20,793	-9,039	-8,774	-8,958	-16,280	-1,292	-4,739	-2,927	-4,222	-4,392
Net Issuance of Debt	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	5,746	190	3,661	250	-2.00	-58.00	4,721	-1,000
Dividends	--	--	-857	-1,729	-36,112	-3,545	-3,805	-4,015	-4,468	-4,578	-5,902	-1,157	-2,291	-1,130	-1,118	-1,363
Other Financing	235	--	--	--	-18.00	89.00	54.00	120	33.00	55.00	30.00	9.00	29.00	17.00	-20.00	4.00
Cash from Financing	-5,586	-4,572	-5,223	-2,364	-41,078	-20,562	-24,544	-12,934	-7,463	-13,291	-18,491	-2,190	-7,003	-4,098	-639	-6,751

Net Change in Cash	-924	-906	3,422	9,544	-9,453	1,863	-603	4,228	-4,263	-571	-4,800	2,747	-668	-2,650	2,656	-4,138

Free Cash Flow	12,319	13,739	14,906	13,517	15,793	12,826	15,532	18,430	15,918	22,096	27,749	5,672	11,578	4,846	7,630	3,695

Quarterly/Annuals Reports:

MSFT: 10-Q - MICROSOFT CORP (0000789019) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2011-04-28
MSFT: 10-Q - MICROSOFT CORP (0000789019) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2011-01-27
MSFT: 10-Q - MICROSOFT CORP (0000789019) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2010-10-28
MSFT: 10-K - MICROSOFT CORP (0000789019) (Filer): (10-K) - 2010-07-30
MSFT: 10-Q - MICROSOFT CORP (0000789019) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2010-01-28

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MSFT - Microsoft Corp. ($25.79)

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